Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 11.515621 13.271064 15.146427 17.292538 19.673891 22.228647 25.169904
2025-02-16 8.771642 10.972593 13.473033 16.502342 20.050301 24.051104 28.879564
2025-02-23 7.166795 9.615800 12.545716 16.264865 20.812518 26.143479 32.812587
2025-03-02 5.896243 8.439352 11.628330 15.847587 21.203575 27.693160 36.059704
2025-03-09 5.011305 7.610292 11.010839 15.678092 21.798560 29.426771 39.513415
2025-03-16 4.224382 6.797731 10.305780 15.290753 22.028726 30.646805 42.306522
2025-03-23 3.732939 6.328209 9.997583 15.372384 22.828784 32.577534 46.023012
2025-03-30 3.279565 5.853508 9.624809 15.312374 23.399707 34.193146 49.347275
2025-04-06 2.958566 5.538284 9.443362 15.489468 24.277285 36.219785 53.249887
2025-04-13 2.677998 5.251292 9.271080 15.652166 25.119900 38.204755 57.133328
2025-04-20 2.496022 5.103651 9.293027 16.091242 26.360575 40.761071 61.850544
2025-04-27 2.305213 4.917362 9.233704 16.392143 27.397511 43.049687 66.245959
2025-05-04 2.070332 4.628536 8.988224 16.391133 27.989001 44.733453 69.861511
2025-05-11 1.743588 4.128151 8.346216 15.712547 27.511909 44.848004 71.243890
2025-05-18 1.537691 3.830296 8.020012 15.515927 27.751710 45.996334 74.114858
2025-05-25 1.328574 3.496338 7.598334 15.126758 27.659837 46.634968 76.246013
2025-06-01 1.176198 3.258263 7.326693 14.968577 27.917737 47.791358 79.148874
2025-06-08 1.015701 2.977977 6.949280 14.597345 27.803856 48.366143 81.188932
2025-06-15 0.924647 2.841287 6.833045 14.676861 28.427002 50.081160 84.964317
2025-06-22 0.828620 2.678090 6.649214 14.619366 28.811931 51.427968 88.205029
2025-06-29 0.764228 2.582771 6.592996 14.790201 29.584705 53.397879 92.431650
2025-07-06 0.704331 2.489714 6.532697 14.947091 30.334460 55.344722 96.658117
2025-07-13 0.671637 2.463882 6.611456 15.370424 31.558130 58.075475 102.148490